Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 13.630373 15.471170 17.418186 19.625796 22.054075 24.638339 27.591179
2025-02-09 11.143970 13.714542 16.607053 20.082299 24.122628 28.649840 34.083235
2025-02-16 8.991493 11.943025 15.460727 19.914406 25.351284 31.719492 39.685171
2025-02-23 7.202373 10.302260 14.205532 19.394804 26.017801 34.088274 44.555543
2025-03-02 5.898638 9.056605 13.244282 19.067663 26.803801 36.566063 49.632553
2025-03-09 4.991736 8.190630 12.640608 19.085767 27.958022 39.500968 55.375254
2025-03-16 4.184125 7.334070 11.926477 18.843102 28.689485 41.868449 60.448993
2025-03-23 3.822580 7.084098 12.028662 19.717616 30.963424 46.358641 68.492130
2025-03-30 3.355407 6.593761 11.706809 19.922072 32.269750 49.557514 74.895974
2025-04-06 2.783360 5.838891 10.883750 19.281012 32.274020 50.900436 78.755060
2025-04-13 2.281726 5.121962 10.030434 18.495533 31.974691 51.749061 81.900223
2025-04-20 2.109621 4.980465 10.111122 19.189211 33.943549 55.944382 89.949897
2025-04-27 2.092233 5.144775 10.748574 20.866860 37.577593 62.813262 102.230629
2025-05-04 1.962953 5.067005 10.948779 21.823119 40.118482 68.151663 112.466746
2025-05-11 1.733589 4.744344 10.668488 21.929479 41.287615 71.449934 119.789339
2025-05-18 1.475828 4.312796 10.132831 21.535818 41.597838 73.420289 125.166879
2025-05-25 1.269294 3.957006 9.698892 21.279013 42.103795 75.692991 131.055053
2025-06-01 1.123043 3.715980 9.463148 21.358112 43.167920 78.866016 138.401132
2025-06-08 0.968953 3.422934 9.083372 21.127361 43.667305 81.132084 144.384497
2025-06-15 0.927269 3.420436 9.322892 22.107799 46.349466 87.037812 156.266526
2025-06-22 0.834751 3.258521 9.193278 22.345024 47.700107 90.784674 164.807131
2025-06-29 0.693406 2.921200 8.625325 21.649036 47.302999 91.590374 168.630451
2025-07-06 0.564159 2.583500 8.008107 20.790548 46.540850 91.728110 171.343965